Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1133.055155 1278.416467 1437.317362 1624.236991 1838.509378 2076.934852 2362.991539
2026-01-04 913.017504 1110.514770 1345.078789 1645.622890 2022.500376 2482.082420 3088.955248
2026-01-11 785.666632 1004.972677 1280.440048 1654.681699 2154.186128 2803.960916 3723.078241
2026-01-18 695.139539 925.713803 1228.669780 1660.320251 2266.741304 3099.087435 4346.606575
2026-01-25 638.076292 879.934620 1210.430729 1701.450560 2423.374489 3463.062708 5105.245073
2026-02-01 589.011532 837.605799 1189.273591 1731.575061 2562.089922 3811.340656 5881.394703
2026-02-08 544.805718 796.314412 1163.333423 1748.687380 2679.054071 4135.488446 6658.397320
2026-02-15 507.825521 761.184463 1141.620581 1767.582244 2797.527614 4471.399868 7495.439673
2026-02-22 479.536297 735.992589 1131.596698 1802.051334 2942.265288 4863.303217 8478.199042
2026-03-01 438.134204 686.214378 1077.856565 1758.766096 2950.477134 5022.487677 9063.938222
2026-03-08 399.042429 636.623828 1019.696797 1701.491612 2926.743446 5120.154957 9544.147474
2026-03-15 364.632505 591.806651 965.391817 1645.066488 2897.339893 5201.956480 10001.108008
2026-03-22 353.172495 584.920259 975.000055 1703.418356 3085.986797 5716.131216 11408.519613
2026-03-29 336.712053 568.140254 966.139886 1727.529767 3213.294808 6129.015329 12673.742913
2026-04-05 319.543810 548.606938 950.521299 1737.037185 3312.475823 6496.686052 13897.276256
2026-04-12 303.428856 529.596253 934.082677 1742.989763 3404.491468 6859.682772 15166.678475
2026-04-19 293.791425 521.524193 936.894511 1786.401211 3577.403888 7414.327748 16973.405652
2026-04-26 283.325902 511.042151 934.177953 1818.200456 3728.964502 7940.992519 18801.942513
2026-05-03 271.950494 497.939380 925.283375 1836.265585 3852.426971 8419.578152 20592.215782
2026-05-10 261.622318 486.050285 917.727141 1856.213731 3981.952154 8928.329369 22551.085757
2026-05-17 253.784028 478.416268 917.936512 1892.607540 4152.749530 9557.548619 24951.371964
2026-05-24 237.995355 453.890114 882.111022 1846.905974 4126.730114 9700.113243 26012.862239
2026-05-31 221.957768 427.819253 841.266783 1786.444546 4059.057073 9729.269668 26751.585217